Global Warming Prediction Project
Global Warming Prediction Project
About Monthly Predictions
15.01.2010
On this site we will publish sets of monthly predictions of global temperature anomalies on a regular basis.
One set contains a prediction for the entire globe and predictions of both land air (lat) and sea surface temperature (sst) anomalies for nine latitudinal areas. Each area represents a 20° wide ring around the globe. Each single prediction is described by an individual prediction interval of high, most likely, and low prediction values. The results for each area is shown in a separate slide and every slide in a set shows the predictions of the coming 36 months along with the observed averaged values of the past 36 months and the corresponding predictions for this period generated at earlier times for reference. A linear trend based on observed temperatures and most likely predictions summarizes the development of the anomalies in the displayed period.
The presented results are obtained from non-linear prediction models which are self-organizing by our advanced and proven knowledge extraction technologies exclusively using the information stored in the observed noisy temperature data of past periods. All prediction models will be updated, too, as new data is available.
The data source for the models and the predictions is maintained and published by the Climate Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, UK.
The objective of this project is doing monthly modeling and prediction of global temperature anomalies through self-organizing knowledge extraction from public data. The project is impartial and has no hidden personal, financial, political or other interests. It is entirely independent, transparent, and open in results.